BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Fort Madison Aquinas

Class: 1A Class Rank: 78 Conference: (12-6) Overall: (12-8) Overall Strength =   55.09

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/03/2002 Away    W *  63.12  68   48   1A  120 (10-11) Farmington Harmony      8.03     11.97                      
  2 12/07/2002 Home    W *  67.34  81   49   1A  129 ( 6-15) Riverside Highland     12.25     19.75                      
  3 12/10/2002 Away    W *  76.49  65   45   2A   99 ( 9-13) Fairfield Maharishi    21.40     -1.40                      
  4 12/13/2002 Home    L *  30.48  32   86   2A    5 (23- 1) Danville              -24.61 *  -29.39                      
  5 12/17/2002 Home    L *  49.27  42   49   1A   76 (17- 7) Burlington ND          -5.82     -1.18                      
  6 12/20/2002 Away    W *  67.10  70   49   1A  115 ( 7-15) West Point Marquette   12.01      8.99                      
  7 12/21/2002 Neutral L    55.09  46   54   EX   54 ( 1- 0) Augusta Southeastern    0.00     -8.00                      
  8 01/04/2003 Home    L    46.64  46   67   3A   33 (11-10) Fort Madison           -8.45    -12.55                      
  9 01/07/2003 Home    L *  60.28  46   57   3A   30 (19- 6) Central Lee             5.19    -16.19                      
 10 01/10/2003 Away    W *  45.29  63   55   1A  134 ( 4-17) New London             -9.80     17.80                      
 11 01/11/2003 Away    W *  57.79  72   56   2A  125 ( 5-17) Columbus Junction       2.70     13.30                      
 12 01/14/2003 Home    W *  45.22  50   39   2A  126 ( 6-15) West Burlington        -9.87     20.87                      
 13 01/17/2003 Home    W *  62.10  77   39   1A  143 ( 3-19) Keokuk Stritch          7.01 *   30.99                      
 14 01/21/2003 Home    L *  46.24  65   72   2A   99 ( 9-13) Fairfield Maharishi    -8.85      1.85                      
 15 01/24/2003 Away    L *  72.73  51   66   2A    5 (23- 1) Danville               17.64 *  -32.64                      
 16 01/31/2003 Home    W *  57.85  68   53   1A  115 ( 7-15) West Point Marquette    2.77     12.23                      
 17 02/11/2003 Away    W *  48.46  86   75   2A  126 ( 6-15) West Burlington        -6.63     17.63                      
 18 02/20/2003 Unknown W *  50.97  63   41   1A  143 ( 3-19) Keokuk Stritch         -4.12     26.12                      
 19 02/21/2003 Home    W *  44.05  58   48   1A  134 ( 4-17) New London            -11.04     21.04                      
 20 02/24/2003 Home    L *  55.27  55   56   1A   76 (17- 7) Burlington ND           0.18     -1.18                      
      Averages              55.09  60.2 55.2

Best game:   76.49 = 20 point win over Fairfield Maharishi
Worst game:  30.48 = 54 point loss to Danville
Team stdev:  11.20